Shack's Sunday Canuck Take - Canucks should stop playing favourites - 03/18/12
Is It Time To Go for Broke - 02/01/12
41 years and counting.
That’s how long it’s been.
Not since they last won the cup. Other than visits from hometown boys and presentations to other teams in 1982 & 2011, we haven’t seen the cup in Vancouver since 1915. Seriously, Victoria (1925) celebrated a Stanley Cup more recently than Vancouver, but for the sake of this article we’ll stick to 41 years. That’s how long Vancouver’s current pro’s have been vying for the cup we all hold so dear.
That’s how long it’s been.
Not since they last won the cup. Other than visits from hometown boys and presentations to other teams in 1982 & 2011, we haven’t seen the cup in Vancouver since 1915. Seriously, Victoria (1925) celebrated a Stanley Cup more recently than Vancouver, but for the sake of this article we’ll stick to 41 years. That’s how long Vancouver’s current pro’s have been vying for the cup we all hold so dear.
Any Canuck fan knows the
Nuck’s chances of hoisting the Cup have been few and far between. Since their inception in 1970, they’ve been
to the finals three times. The first two times weren’t because management had
built a winner−in both
cases the Canucks were blessed with sublime goaltending. In 1982, they made it because LA upset the
young Oilers and the rest of the quality teams were in the east. Vancouver actually finished the season three
games below .500 but somehow managed to play three teams with worse records in
the playoffs before getting stomped by the Islanders in the finals four
straight.
In 1994, the Canucks were in
reality much better than their record. They finished one game over .500, but they
had found that perfect mix of goaltending, timely scoring and team swagger to
lead them to within one goal post of at least tying game 7.
Other than those 2 breaks
from the mediocre norm, Vancouver management had, until recently, built one team
that appeared capable of competing for a Stanley Cup. Unfortunately, Dan
Cloutier was not a playoff goalie, and Todd Bertuzzi’s seemingly ‘roid-induced
rage destroyed what appeared to be a team poised on the brink of breaking
through.
Which brings us to
today. Through the combined efforts of
their last three GM’s, the Canucks have assembled a plethora of talent that is
the envy of most teams in the league. Luongo
& Schneider are a minimum top five goaltending tandem. The Canucks boast a defense with a well-above
average top four and depth through the 9th defender, Chris Tanev,
who acquitted himself quite well in last year’s playoffs. Canucks also have an
offense that has equal parts size, speed and touch. In short, this is a well-constructed team, the
likes of which Canucks fans have never seen.
Last season the Canucks were
1st or 2nd in almost every offensive, defensive and team
stat that mattered: Goals for, goals
against, penalty, killing and power play.
They almost ran away with the President’s Trophy for best record in the
regular season, beating the next closest total by 10 points. In the playoffs, the Western Conference
offered little opposition to what seemed like the inevitable end to 40 years of
futility.
Only the Blackhawks seemed to
push the Canucks−they erased a three game deficit to force game 7, which the Canucks won in
overtime. At the time, everyone in
Canuckland thought this was another step in the evolution of the team, an
exorcism of sorts. We were finally getting by the big hurdle preventing us from
reaching the highest level.
Really, it was just a pre-cursor to what was to come.
Really, it was just a pre-cursor to what was to come.
Having won the Stanley Cup
the previous year, to then have their team gutted in the off-season, Chicago seemed
to be in a year-long coma. The
Blackhawks snuck into the 2011 playoffs when another team lost on the final day
of season. They fell down 3 – 0 to Vancouver and seemed ready to go away
quietly, content with their accomplishments from the season previous. But after
Raffi Torres almost decapitated Brent Seabrook, Chicago changed.
Down by three games, Jonathan
Toews, known as Captain Serious because he doesn’t joke around, pointed out, “Everyone
wants to look at the stats all year and talk about what [the Canucks] do well
and how good of a team they are. That’s what’s frustrating. We’re not exposing
them for what they really are. I think a lot of people outside this locker room
are giving them too much credit. Maybe we are as well. We know that we can be a
better team and we just haven’t shown it yet.”
At the time his criticism was
ridiculed. You’re down three games and
you’re saying they’re not that good?
Have you not see the stats, their record? But what he was really trying
to say in a somewhat politically correct way was, “Have you seen what happens
when you punch these guys in the mouth?
The stats might say they’re great but when the going gets tough these
guys will run and hide, starting with their goalie.”
Fortunately for the Canucks,
the Blackhawks remembered the formula too late. Beating any team four straight is hard,
beating one as good as the Nucks proved too much for Chicago. They were one
overtime goal short of forcing Vancouver into an entire team heart transplant. Imagine the changes that would have been
necessary had the Canucks lost that game?
Memories are short though and
by the time the Canucks rolled through a talent-challenged Nashville squad, and
San Jose, a team with even more character flaws, Jonathan Toews’ prescient
words were long forgotten.
Then came the big, bad
Bruins.
Things started out well
enough, Vancouver won games 1 & 2 at home and the hockey world all but
handed the Stanley Cup to the Canucks.
However. a funny thing happened on the way to the proclaimed title. The Canucks pissed Boston off.
Whether it was Rome’s late
hit on Horton, Burrows’ finger biting of Bergeron, the seeming arrogance of
Vancouver’s players or more likely some combination of all these things, the
Bruins decided they’d had enough. Boston
started punching Vancouver in the mouth, both literally and figuratively. Much
like the Blackhawks series, things changed.
Unlike the Blackhawk series,
the Bruins didn’t have to win four in a row.
They could afford the inevitable single victory the Canucks could manage
in the final five games. Once the dust had settled, the bigger, meaner Bruins
beat the Canucks on the ice and in the alley, as well as exposing Luongo’s
tendency to come up small when the pressure became too great. By the end it appeared Vancouver was so
intimidated that if a Bruin player came to a Canuck’s house, he could walk in
and make love to the Canuck’s wife in the living room while the Canuck was in
the kitchen making them appetizers.
It was embarrassing.
Do I think a healthy Hamhuis,
Raymond, Kesler, Samuelsson & Edler would have made a difference. Absolutely, with a couple of big buts… First,
excuses mean nothing in the long run.
The B’s were without Horton & Savard. I’m sure they were beat up
too. You have to play the cards you’re dealt and those were the cards. Second and more important, would Vancouver
have won three games against Boston or the series against Chicago had these
teams got in Vancouver’s grill in game 1 instead of game 3 or 4?
So after our short history
lesson where does this leave us? After 40 years of futility interrupted by a
couple of mercurial moments, the Canucks have finally put together a roster
which is as good or better than any other team in the league. Unfortunately they may have a fatal flaw.
The Canucks are definitely
talented enough to win but two things may stand in their way: their ability to
stand up to a talented team of bullies and the mental strength of their number
1 goalie.
So the question today is: Are they good enough to win it all and how
long is their window? If you ask Mike
Gillis I’m sure he’d say they are good enough to win now and they have the
depth to compete for at least the next few years and he could be right. Unfortunately I’m not sure that’s true. The present problem of whether Vancouver can
take on a talented team that plays just left of dirty will likely be answered
in these playoffs. The long-term
elephant in the room is whether Mr. Bobby Lou can keep his head together
through 4 series to allow the Canucks to win.
In my mind the Luongo problem
puts more pressure on the here and now than the toughness issue.
Mike Gillis saw everything we
saw in the Stanley Cup playoffs and the only major subtractions/additions he
felt necessary so far was trading in an older oft-injured Mikael Samuelsson for
a younger, faster oft-injured David Booth, giving Cody Hodgson a more full-time
role, and Dale Weiss. Basically, keeping
the status quo. They were one game short
last year, better health and a little extra talent should be all we need to
finally get over the hump is what he seems to be saying. He maintains a policy of patience, he won’t
give up the future to try and win now.
Well, I don’t quite share his
optimism and the reason lies between the pipes.
Look, Gillis could be right, he could have the perfect blend of skill,
speed, strength and goal-tending right now but what if they don’t? What if Luongo just can’t get over the mental
hurdle? Vancouver has the skill, depth
and resources to alter every aspect of this team except goaltender.
If Vancouver meets Chicago
this playoffs and they lose because Chicago bullies them, the Canucks can
easily change a couple of their assets for tougher, meaner guys to counter this
strategy. In terms of being a playoff
team and competing at the highest level, Vancouver has what it takes and then
some, but this is about winning a Stanley Cup.
After 41 years, nothing else matters.
So what if Vancouver plays
Chicago again and it’s Luongo that chokes the series away. Or even worse, what if it’s like last year all
over again, where the combination of the other teams toughness and Luongo’s
lack of mental resilience kills Vancouver’s chances.
There needs to be a greater sense
of urgency at the management level.
Right now Vancouver has the ultimate insurance policy against a
goaltender like Luongo in Cory Schneider.
This year, if Lui starts having his annual mental lapse, Coach Vigneault
has a more than adequate standby sitting at the end of the bench. Cory Schneider has proven over the last
couple of years to be ready for a prime time role and if Lui struggles this
year in the playoffs his leash will be short.
That’s all fine and dandy but
what if Lui struggles and they don’t win, what about next year? Well Luongo’s no-trade contract makes him
impossible to trade and Schneider’s up-coming contract will make him impossible
to keep. He’ll command a salary well
above $3 mill, which is far too pricey for the Canucks to afford in the salary
cap era. Eddie Lack has been
apprenticing in the minors and seems ready for a call up but there’s no way to
tell if he’s even an NHL goalie, let alone one capable of winning in the
playoffs.
So what do you do if you’re
the Canucks’ GM? Can you afford to be
patient, knowing your fan-base is so desperate to win a cup they’ll burn down
the city if they don’t get one? Knowing
that you have exactly one year left of the best goaltending tandem this city
has ever seen and likely will ever see?
Knowing the guy you have to keep may not be the guy you want to
keep? Knowing the one weakness you have
today – the lack of a goal scorer and a depth defenseman with any kind of mean
streak are your only true weak links - may cost you more than you’re willing to
give up? What do you do?
If Vancouver had won even a
single championship in their existence everything would be different. That one precious cup would have given the
present management team all the time they needed to sort through these
issues. Unfortunately for Mike Gillis
and his team, the Canucks haven’t managed a Stanley Cup. If this current edition doesn’t win the cup
there’s the possibility generations of Canuck fans will die without ever seeing
their local heroes hoist the Holy Grail of hockey.
Mr. Gillis has tied the hopes
of the franchise to a $7.5 million goalie with a 50 cent psyche for the next 5
years. He needs to act now. If he’s right, with the talent currently
assembled, the Canucks will have several more years at the top of the league
and several more chances to win. If he’s
wrong, this is our last chance until 2017.
If he needs to trade our entire draft for the next 2 years along with
any player not named Sedin, Kesler, or Hamhuis in order to get the missing
ingredient, he owes it to this fan base to do so.
Canuck fans need a cup. Let them die in peace.
2 things. lets not get too ahead of ourselves here. all we need is a power forward with a mean streak. like an andrew ladd, ryan clowe or chris stewart. Second Berts move on moore wasn't all that bad. in reality it was the best thing to happen to steve moores career, and if the instigating rule was take out of hockey it wouldn't have happened.
ReplyDeleteIf you read my Sunday Canuck column from two weeks ago about what to do with Cory, you'll know I agree with you completely on the Canucks needs. I think they need that bad attitude top 6 forward like you named and a depth d-man with a mean streak a la Shane O'Brien http://shacksonsports.blogspot.com/2012/02/shacks-take-021212-sunday-canuck-column.html
ReplyDeleteI also mostly agree about Moore. I do think Bertuzzi was a total meathead for what he did and I really don't care how bad the punishment gets for his 'roid induced anger issues but Steve Moore has been a self-pitying whiner through this whole thing. I'd love to know just how bad the concussion was and not just his law suit motivated view.
As for the instigator rule, there isn't a rule in sports I hate more. You're correct there as well, remove the rule and that whole confrontation would have ended the day Moore hit Naslund and not allowed to fester for a season. As a matter of fact if the instigator rule didn't exist I'll bet Moore never would have had the balls to make that hit in the first place.